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From the Trenches: Carolina Paid $120 Million for the 2025 Version of Jaelan Phillips. The Tape Explains Why.

He developed an inside counter move on his own. He improved against the run. The medical history is real and so is the football. The bet Carolina made is defensible — if the body cooperates.

Carolina signed Jaelan Phillips to four years and $120 million on Friday and I want to have the football conversation rather than the contract conversation, because the contract conversation misses the part that actually matters.

Phillips came out of Miami as a pass rusher with a first-round profile and a medical history that required every team to make a risk calculation. Philadelphia selected him in the first round in 2022 and spent three seasons watching him be genuinely disruptive when available and genuinely unavailable when injured. The argument against a four-year commitment was always: you are paying first-tier money for a player whose floor is a medical question, not a football question. Philadelphia apparently decided they had seen enough of both answers and moved on.

Carolina saw the same tape and made a different calculation. I want to explain why that calculation is defensible on the film.

Go watch what Phillips does in space when he is right. Not in the stats — in the actual movement. He has lateral quickness at his size that most edge rushers do not develop, and he has developed an inside counter move over the last two seasons that produces pressure in situations where teams are specifically scheming to cut off his arc to the quarterback. The inside counter — the chop to the tackle's outside hand, the redirect inside the B gap — is a technique that requires weeks of film study to perfect and is not something you teach at the NFL level. Phillips developed it himself. That is a player whose football intelligence is higher than his injury history would suggest if you read only the game log.

What Carolina is asking Phillips to do within Dave Canales' defensive scheme is different from what he was doing in Philadelphia. Canales' defense — still under coordinator Jeff Ulbrich from Atlanta, actually the exact coordinator who had Phillips' evaluation from a divisional perspective — demands that the edge rusher set the edge against the run before he earns pass-rush opportunities. Philadelphia sometimes used Phillips as a pure pass-rush specialist in obvious passing situations, which loaded the statistical deck but did not develop the full-down skill set that makes an edge rusher worth $120 million over four years. Carolina wants a player who can do both.

The tape from 2025 specifically — when Phillips was healthy and consistent for the longest stretch of his career — shows a player who is developing that full-down profile. He was setting the edge against outside zone concepts at a higher rate than in any previous season. The pass rush production is what it always was. The run defense improvement is what makes the $120 million defensible.

The risk is real and I would not pretend otherwise. Four years is a long contract for a player whose career has been interrupted by injury. The guaranteed money is real capital that will sit on the balance sheet whether Phillips plays or not. What Carolina is betting is that the football player you see on the 2025 tape — the version who was available, who developed the inside counter, who is starting to look like the full player the draft profile promised — is the player who shows up in the next four years, not the player who missed games in 2023 and 2024.

The tape is the reason you make that bet. The tape says the football is there when the body cooperates.

What every Carolina fan should hope for is simple: that the body cooperates.

Offtackle Staff Writers

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From the Trenches: Carolina Paid $120 Million for the 2025 Version of Jaelan Phillips. The Tape Explains Why. — Offtackle